Siddeeddii bilood ee ugu horreysay 2022, wax soo saarka bacriminta macdanta ee Ruushka ayaa hoos u dhacay 2.5% marka la barbar dhigo isla muddadaas sannadkii hore, kanaalka Telegram ee Xarunta Saadaasha dhaqaalaha ee Gazprombank ayaa sheegaysa, iyadoo la tixraacayo xogta Rosstat ee lagu hagaajiyay xisaabinta kaqeybgalayaasha suuqa. Isla mar ahaantaana, wax soo saarku wali wuu ka badnaa 2019 iyo 2020 10.5% iyo 4%, siday u kala horreeyaan. Bishii Janaayo-Agoosto 2022, wax-soo-saarka bacriminta potash ayaa aad hoos ugu dhacay -25.1%, Bacriminta nitrogen ayaa sidoo kale hoos u dhacay 6.3%, halka wax soo saarka urea uu kordhay 6.1%, iyo amooniyam amooniyam - 10.1%. Dhoofinta bacriminta guud ahaan waxay hoos u dhacday 11%, hoos u dhaca ugu weyn wuxuu ahaa amooniyam nitrate (ku dhawaad 50%), chloride potassium (24.8%) iyo CAS (32.2%). Tani waxay sabab u tahay hoos u dhaca baahida Yurub iyo dhibaatooyinka saadka, inkastoo xaqiiqda ah in aysan jirin mamnuucid toos ah oo ku saabsan iibsashada bacriminta macdanta ee Ruushka.
Sida laga soo xigtay Kommersant's interlocutors, xagaagii, soosaarayaasha muhiimka ah ee Ruushka ee fosfooraska-ka kooban iyo bacriminta nitrogen ayaa la qabsaday xannibaadaha iyo kordhinta sahayda suuqyada kale: Phosagro, tusaale ahaan, waxay si weyn hoos ugu dhigtay sahayda Yurub, laakiin waxay kordhisay dhoofinta Hindiya 2.5 jeer. . Eurochem waxa kale oo ay u wareejisay badeecooyinka suuqyada halkaas oo ay caqabado ku ahaayeen gobollada kale. Dhibaatooyinka ugu waaweyn ayaa ka soo kacay Uralchem sababtoo ah xiritaanka dhuumaha Tolyatti-Odessa ammonia, iyo sidoo kale Uralkali, kuwaas oo dhoofintoodu ay hoos u dhacday bartamihii xagaaga-25-30% ka dib markii la xannibay marinnada wareejinta ee ay leedahay shirkadda ee Baltic States. Wargeysku waxa uu qoray.
Lixda bilood ee soo socota, waaxdu waxay wajihi doontaa korodhka culeyska maaliyadeed: canshuur dhoofinta bacriminta ayaa la filayaa in lagu soo rogo haddii qiimaha adduunka ee bacriminta fosfooraska iyo nitrogen uu dhaafo $ 500 / ton, potash - $ 400 / ton. Intaa waxaa dheer, qiimaha gaaska ee macaamiisha warshadaha Ruushka ayaa la filayaa in ay muujiyaan 8.5% December. Sida laga soo xigtay Kommersant, bilowgii Agoosto, qiimaha adduunka ee bacriminta macdanta ayaa ku haray heerar sare: sidaas darteed, diammonium phosphate oo lagu soo raro qiimaha Baltic $ 832 / t, potassium - $ 660 / t, urea - $ 581 / t. Sannadka 2023, miisaaniyada qabyada ah waxaa ka mid ah ka bixitaanka in ka badan 100 bilyan oo rubles shirkado kiimiko ah qaab waajibaad.
Agaasimaha fulinta ee Ururka Ruushka ee Bacriminta Bacriminta (RAPU) Maxim Kuznetsov ayaa sheegay in suuqa gudaha uu yahay mudnaanta joogtada ah ee warshadaha bacriminta macdanta ee Ruushka. Sida laga soo xigtay isaga, todobadii sano ee la soo dhaafay, beeralayda ayaa laba jibaaray iibsashada bacriminta macdanta ilaa 5 milyan oo tan oo bacriminta macdanta ah sannadkii hore. Sannadka 2030, wasaaradda beeruhu waxa ay saadaalisay in ay kor u kacday tiradan oo ay gaadhsiin doonto 8.8 milyan oo tan. "Wax soo saarka noocyada ugu muhiimsan ee bacriminta macdanta ee Russia ayaa koraya: in ka badan 30% todobadii sano ee la soo dhaafay, oo ay ku jiraan 5.6% 2021," ayuu raaciyay. Intaa waxaa dheer, sida laga soo xigtay Kuznetsov, siddeedii bilood ee ugu horreeyay ee 2022, wax soo saarka bacriminta ugu caansan ee Ruushka - nitrogen iyo fosfooraska - ayaa kordhay 4.2% iyo 2%, siday u kala horreeyaan. Iyo dhaqdhaqaaqa guud ee warshadaha, sida soo socota xogta Rosstat, waxaa xaddiday hoos u dhac ku yimaada wax soo saarka chloride potassium - nooca ugu yar ee bacriminta ee suuqa gudaha, ayuu yiri Kuznetsov.
"Marka laga soo tago taariikhdan, waxa la filayaa in sanadkan xawliga iibsiga bacriminta macdanta ee dhismaha beeralayda uu dhaafo saadaasha. Bartamihii Oktoobar, shirkadaha warshadaha ayaa ku dhawaad 100% la kulmay baahida dhismaha beeralayda-warshadaha Ruushka ee bacriminta macdanta oo dhan 2022. Hormarinta bacriminta macdanta ololaha abuurka guga ee 2023 ayaa mar hore bilaabay in tiro ka mid ah gobollada, "Kuznetsov wuxuu u sheegay Agroinvestor. Sida laga soo xigtay isaga, hadda, iyada oo la raacayo talooyinka FAS, ay ku heshiiyeen Wasaaradda Warshadaha iyo Ganacsiga, Wasaaradda Beeraha iyo Wasaaradda Horumarinta Dhaqaalaha, qiimaha yar ee bacriminta macdanta ee beeraha ayaa lagu go'aamiyaa siyaasadaha ganacsiga ee warshadeeyayaasha. oo lagu dhajiyay mareegaha rasmiga ah. Talooyinka ay waaxyadu isku raaceen waxay bixinayaan tilmaan-ururinta qiimaha yar-yar ee 2022: 5% laga bilaabo Juun 1, 5-10% laga bilaabo Sebtembar 1 iyo 8.4-8.6% laga bilaabo Disembar 1.
Sida laga soo xigtay Dmitry Rylko, Agaasimaha Guud ee Machadka Isku-xirka Suuqa Beeraha, ma aha mid mudan in lagu tiriyo kororka isticmaalka gudaha ee bacriminta macdanta: faa'iidada ganacsiga dalagga ayaa aad hoos ugu dhacay, halka qiimaha bacriminta aan kaliya ku sii jirin heer sare. heerar, laakiin waxay ku korayaan tiro boosas ah. Sidoo kale, isbeddellada kacaanku kuma dhici doonaan jihooyinka dhoofinta, maadaama dhammaan suuqyada la sameeyay, in kasta oo dib-u-habayn xaddidan oo sahayda ah ay weli socoto, ayuu u sheegay Agroinvestor.
Madaxweyne-ku-xigeenka Ururka Miraha Ruushka (RZS) Alexander Korbut ayaa aaminsan in ay jiraan dalal doonaya in ay kordhiyaan iibsashada bacriminta, laakiin su'aashu waxay tahay "in ay sidoo kale lacag haystaan." Warshadaha Ruushku waxay awood u yeelan doonaan inay galaan suuqyo cusub, laakiin waxay qaadataa wakhti. Dhanka kale, cunaqabatayn aan rasmi ahayn ayaa dhaqan galaysa waxayna saamayn taban ku yeelanaysaa saadka wadamada iibsada dhaqameed, ayuu xusay.
Sida laga soo xigtay Korbut, waxaa jira rajo ah koritaanka caalamiga ah ee isticmaalka bacriminta: dalagyo badan ayaa loo baahan yahay, iyo xaaladaha dhulka iyo biyaha xaddidan, dunidu uma badna in ay awoodaan in ay sameeyaan bacriminta macdanta sanadaha soo socda, inkastoo siyaasadaha deegaanka ee wadamada qaar ee u hogaansan fikradda xaddidaya isticmaalkooda. Kobaca isticmaalka bacriminta ayaa sidoo kale suurtagal ah Ruushka, laakiin isticmaalka bacriminta macdanta casriga ah waxaa lagu go'aamiyaa heerka teknoolajiyada ee beeraha, tani waxay u baahan tahay hal-abuurnimo oo lagu go'aamiyo maalgashiga, taas oo, markeeda, ku xiran tahay dakhliga. "Siyaasadda gobolka ee hadda jirta ee ku saabsan wax-soo-saarka dalagga, oo ay ugu horreeyaan kuwa miraha iyo kuwa saliidda leh, ee xaddidaya dhoofinta iyo dakhliga soo-saarka beeralayda, dhab ahaantii kuma kicinayso horumarinta tignoolajiyada," Korbut ayaa u faallooday Agroinvestor.
Alexander Nezhenets, Agaasimaha Guud ee Horumarka Agrofirm (Krasnodar Territory), ayaa sheegay in qiimaha qaar ka mid ah noocyada bacriminta ay si weyn u korodhay. Gaar ahaan, ammophos hadda qiimihiisu yahay 61.5 kun rubles / ton (2021, shirkadu waxay soo iibsatay laba xilli in ka badan laba jeer ka jaban), iyo Bacriminta nitrogen ayaa kor u kacay qiimaha by 20%, halka CAS ee October si fudud aan la dalban karin. Laakiin inkasta oo dhammaan dhibaatooyinka, uu sii wado, Horumarku wuxuu kordhin doonaa codsiga bacriminta, sida shirkadu waxay ku dadaaleysaa dalagyo badan.
Shirkadda Tver Agro-Industrial weli ma iibsan bacriminta: sannadkii hore, qof kastaa wuxuu soo iibsaday dayrta, taas oo keentay in ay jiraan degdeg ah, iyo qaar ka mid ah noocyada bacriminta ayaa si fudud aan suurtagal ahayn in la iibsado, halka guga dhibaatooyinka noocan oo kale ah aysan jirin. muddo dheer la arkay. "Mugga codsigu wuxuu ku xiran yahay waxa aan ku samayn doono abuurka: qiimaha badarka hadda, malaha ma fulin doono beeritaanka guga. Markaa, si waafaqsan, bacriminta looma baahna,” Konanykhin ayaa hadalkiisa ku soo gabagabeeyey.
Xigasho: https://www.agroinvestor.ru/